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Bitcoin Up probability rises sharply on Polymarket’s November 1 board

PolymarketTrader says its Bitcoin board, updated November 1, 2026 with 93 live markets, prices Bitcoin finishing Up on November 1 at 82.5 percent, up 32.0 points, on 102,400 dollars traded. The same board prices the Bitcoin price on November 1 range leader, 76,000 to 78,000 dollars, at 53.6 percent.

Polymarket’s market for whether Bitcoin finishes Up on November 1 priced that outcome at 82.5 percent, according to PolymarketTrader. The reported increase was 32.0 points, with 102,400 dollars traded.

Direction and price-range markets

PolymarketTrader’s Bitcoin board, updated November 1, 2026, contained 93 live markets. The report was published on Nov 1, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET.

A separate market covering Bitcoin’s price on November 1 had 76,000 to 78,000 dollars as its leading range. That outcome was priced at 53.6 percent, according to PolymarketTrader.

The two readings address different outcomes: one concerns whether Bitcoin finishes Up, while the other concerns its price range. The supplied summary does not include settlement criteria or prices for competing ranges, limiting a direct comparison.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 32.0-point increase marks a substantial shift toward Up in the reported market pricing, but the summary does not identify what drove it.
  • The 82.5 percent Up price and the 53.6 percent range price should not be treated as competing forecasts; they concern different market questions.
  • The 102,400 dollars in reported trading applies to the Up-or-Down market, not to the entire board of 93 live markets.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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