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Bitcoin leads Polymarket hourly futures activity as gold shorts close

Polywatcher's hourly board for Polymarket perpetual futures, which trade crypto, stocks, indexes and commodities around the clock, also counted 9.86 million dollars in the SOXL index market in the latest hour. Its latest whale orders included gold shorts closing at about 4,114 dollars, in orders of 138,000 and 71,400 dollars.

According to Polywatcher, Bitcoin recorded 65.99 million dollars in trading on Polymarket perpetual futures in the latest hour, exceeding the totals for SK Hynix and WTI oil. The update was published Nov 4, 2026, at 9:15 PM ET.

Hourly activity spans several asset classes

SK Hynix registered 42.91 million dollars in hourly trading, while WTI oil recorded 21.44 million dollars, according to Polywatcher’s board. The SOXL index market added 9.86 million dollars over the same period.

The board covers Polymarket perpetual futures across crypto, stocks, indexes and commodities, with trading available around the clock. The figures provide an hourly activity snapshot rather than a measure of directional positioning.

Gold short positions close

Polywatcher’s latest large-order activity also included closures of gold short positions at about 4,114 dollars. The two reported orders were valued at 138,000 and 71,400 dollars.

Those closures are separate from the hourly turnover figures. The supplied update does not identify the traders or explain why they closed their positions.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin had the highest hourly turnover among the markets listed in this update, but trading volume alone does not establish bullish or bearish sentiment.
  • The reported figures concern perpetual futures activity, not event-contract probabilities; they should not be read as implied odds.
  • The gold orders show short positions being closed, but the update provides no basis for inferring a broader shift in market positioning.
PolymarketBitcoinGoldOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Polywatcher
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