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House control leads Polymarket whale activity as large trades reach $10.9 million

Rivo's Polymarket whale tracker, updated at 7:55 PM ET on November 4, counts 301 open bets from 274 wallets in profit that are still waiting to settle. Behind House control, the largest whale-money markets were Borussia Dortmund's November 4 soccer match at 2.7 million dollars and the Democratic sweep balance-of-power market at 1.9 million.

Large-trade activity on Polymarket totaled $10.9 million across 568 trades over 24 hours, according to Rivo. House control attracted the largest share among the markets identified, with $3.1 million.

Political markets and soccer draw the largest flows

Borussia Dortmund’s November 4 soccer match ranked behind House control, drawing $2.7 million in whale money. The Democratic sweep balance-of-power market followed at $1.9 million, according to Rivo.

Those figures describe money flowing through large trades, not the probability of a particular outcome. The supplied summary does not identify which sides of these markets the traders backed.

Open positions remain unsettled

Rivo’s Polymarket whale tracker, updated at 7:55 PM ET on November 4, counted 301 open bets from 274 wallets in profit that were still awaiting settlement.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. The tracker’s earlier update is the stated reference point for the open-bet count; those positions had not yet reached settlement.

What it means for prediction markets

  • House control drew the most whale money: Its $3.1 million exceeded the totals reported for Borussia Dortmund’s match and the Democratic sweep market.
  • Trade size does not establish direction: Without the sides purchased or the prices paid, the reported flows do not show which outcomes large traders favored.
  • Open profits are not settled results: The 301 open bets remained unresolved at the tracker update, limiting conclusions about final trading performance.
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    Rivo
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