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Chiefs lead Hill market as Dolphins post larger probability gain

PolymarketTrader reports the Tyreek Hill next team market on Polymarket, updated November 1, leads with the Kansas City Chiefs at 33.5 percent, up 3.0 points, followed by the Miami Dolphins at 23.3 percent, up 16.8 points, and the Buffalo Bills at 4.8 percent. The market has traded 70,300 dollars in total volume and ends January 1, 2027.

Polymarket’s market on Tyreek Hill’s next team puts the Kansas City Chiefs first at 33.5 percent, according to PolymarketTrader’s November 1 update. The Chiefs’ implied probability rose 3.0 points.

Dolphins gain ground

The Miami Dolphins stood at 23.3 percent after a 16.8-point increase, according to PolymarketTrader. Their gain was larger than the Chiefs’ move, although Kansas City remained ahead.

The Buffalo Bills were priced at 4.8 percent. The supplied summary did not provide a change in the Bills’ implied probability.

Volume and closing date

The market has recorded 70,300 dollars in total trading volume and ends January 1, 2027, according to PolymarketTrader. The report was published Nov 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET.

Those prices describe market expectations, not a confirmed destination for Hill. The supplied summary offers no explanation for the probability changes or details about the market’s settlement criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leadership is not a majority: The Chiefs lead at 33.5 percent, but that price remains below 50 percent.
  • The largest reported move favors Miami: The Dolphins’ 16.8-point rise contrasts with Kansas City’s 3.0-point increase.
  • Volume has limits as a signal: The 70,300 dollars represents total trading volume; the summary provides no information about current liquidity.
  • Settlement details remain unspecified: January 1, 2027 is the stated end date, but the summary does not explain how a qualifying next-team outcome will be determined.
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Sources & attribution

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