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Solana threshold odds climb as token trades near $96

AWebAnalysis reports Polymarket's market on Solana being above 95 dollars on November 1 is priced at 63.8 percent Yes against 36.2 percent No, up 11.4 points in 24 hours, with Solana trading near 96 dollars. The same board prices XRP above 1.20 dollars on November 2 at 84 percent.

According to AWebAnalysis, Polymarket’s contract on whether Solana will be above $95 on November 1 has a Yes price of 63.8%, compared with 36.2% for No.

The update, published on Nov 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, puts the Yes side up 11.4 percentage points over 24 hours.

Solana trades near the contract threshold

AWebAnalysis places Solana near $96, roughly $1 above the contract’s $95 threshold. The market pricing favors an above-threshold outcome, but the No side retains a substantial share of the implied probability.

On the same board, the contract for XRP to be above $1.20 on November 2 is priced at 84%, according to AWebAnalysis. That is a higher implied probability than the Solana contract, though the two questions involve different assets, thresholds and dates.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Solana’s 11.4-point rise in 24 hours marks a shift toward Yes, rather than a confirmed outcome.
  • With Solana near $96, its quoted price is only roughly $1 above the level the contract asks it to exceed.
  • XRP’s 84% pricing offers a separate reference point, not a like-for-like comparison with Solana’s November 1 contract.
PolymarketSolanaInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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