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Bitcoin’s $76,000–$78,000 band leads Polymarket odds for November 3

The 74,000 to 76,000 dollar range is second at 28 percent and the 78,000 to 80,000 dollar range third at 12 percent, with about 63,000 dollars in lifetime volume. The market settles on the Bitcoin price at 17:00 UTC on November 3.

Polymarket’s Bitcoin price market for November 3 puts the $76,000–$78,000 range first at 55%, according to Lines. The snapshot was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 4:15 AM ET.

How the price bands compare

The $74,000–$76,000 range ranks second at 28%. The $78,000–$80,000 band follows in third place at 12%, placing the lower neighboring range ahead of the higher one.

Lifetime volume stands at about $63,000, according to Lines. That figure covers the market’s trading history, rather than activity solely at the publication time.

Settlement time matters

The contract settles on Bitcoin’s price at 17:00 UTC on November 3. Its outcome therefore depends on the price at that specified time, not whether Bitcoin enters one of the listed ranges earlier in the day.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $76,000–$78,000 band is the leading outcome at 55%, but that probability does not make settlement in the range certain.
  • The neighboring bands show an uneven distribution: 28% for $74,000–$76,000 versus 12% for $78,000–$80,000.
  • The 17:00 UTC settlement point is the key reference for interpreting these odds; the reported probabilities are a snapshot ahead of that deadline.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Lineslines.com
    Source URL
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