Polymarket’s November 1 Bitcoin contract settles in $78,000–$80,000 bracket
Lines says the eleven-bracket range market closed on November 1 and the winning bracket resolved at 100 percent. The 78,000 to 80,000 dollar bracket held a 55 percent implied probability at article time, and the full-year 2026 Bitcoin price market remains active.
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price range market for November 1 resolved with the $78,000–$80,000 bracket as the winner, according to Lines. The market recorded $206,200 in trading volume.
The eleven-bracket contract closed on November 1, with the winning bracket resolving at 100 percent. The report was published on Nov 2, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET.
Resolution and probability snapshots
Lines also cited a 55 percent implied probability for the $78,000–$80,000 bracket at article time. That figure is distinct from the reported 100 percent resolution value; the supplied summary does not establish the timing relationship between those two observations.
The November 1 contract is closed, but Polymarket’s full-year 2026 Bitcoin price market remains active, according to Lines. The completed date-specific market and the ongoing annual contract therefore have different resolution horizons.
What it means for prediction markets
- Settlement versus probability: The 100 percent figure represents the winning bracket’s resolution, while the cited 55 percent is an implied-probability reading.
- Volume has limits: The $206,200 traded measures activity in the market; the supplied material does not show how that volume was distributed among the eleven brackets.
- Separate outcomes: Resolution of the November 1 market does not settle the still-active full-year 2026 Bitcoin price contract.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Lineslines.com
- Publisher
- https://www.lines.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Lines”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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