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Oregon championship contract shows sharp price divide between Polymarket and Gemini

Rivo lists the gap among the widest between venues on the markets it tracks, with prices read on November 6 at 10:04 AM ET. Rivo reads every venue every five minutes.

The Oregon Ducks College Football Championship contract was priced at 0.4 cents on Polymarket and 7 cents on Gemini, according to Rivo’s November 6 snapshot.

A wide gap across venues

Rivo described the difference as 6.7 points and ranked it among the widest venue-to-venue gaps in the markets it tracks. That ranking applies to Rivo’s tracked markets, rather than necessarily to all prediction markets.

The prices were read on November 6 at 10:04 AM ET. The report was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 10:15 AM ET, making the observation a timestamped comparison rather than a live price indication.

Rivo reads every venue every five minutes. The supplied figures do not explain the reported gap: subtracting the displayed prices gives 6.6 cents, while Rivo’s stated difference is 6.7 points.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Timing matters: The comparison reflects the 10:04 AM ET reading, not necessarily prices at publication or afterward.
  • The ranking has a defined scope: Rivo identifies the gap as one of the widest within its own tracked markets.
  • The figures need clarification: The stated gap and displayed prices do not reconcile directly. The supplied material also provides no contract terms, liquidity or execution details with which to assess the comparison further.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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