Polymarket settles Israel–Iran ceasefire contract at 100 cents for Yes
PolyWatch records the ceasefire market resolving Yes on November 6, 2026 at a final price of 100 cents. The market traded 96,000 dollars in its final 24 hours and 609,000 dollars over its lifetime.
The Polymarket contract on whether the Israel and Iran ceasefire would continue through November 5 resolved Yes on November 6, 2026, according to PolyWatch. Its final price was 100 cents.
Settlement and trading activity
The settlement date came one day after the contract’s specified endpoint. PolyWatch’s update was published on Nov 6, 2026 · 10:45 AM ET.
Trading totaled 96,000 dollars in the market’s final 24 hours, according to PolyWatch. Across its lifetime, the contract recorded 609,000 dollars in volume.
The supplied summary records the outcome, final price and trading totals, but does not provide the contract’s detailed resolution criteria or the evidence used to settle it. The reported result therefore establishes the market’s resolution, rather than independently documenting conditions surrounding the ceasefire.
What it means for prediction markets
- Outcome versus forecast: The 100-cent figure is the reported final price of a resolved Yes contract, not a live probability estimate.
- Defined time horizon: The contract concerned the ceasefire continuing through November 5; its settlement does not establish an outcome beyond that endpoint.
- Volume context: The 96,000 dollars traded in the final 24 hours is part of the 609,000-dollar lifetime total. Those figures alone do not show how prices moved before resolution.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PolyWatch
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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