Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Oregon championship pricing diverges sharply across Polymarket and Gemini

Rivo's cross-venue snapshot, read at 9:10 PM ET on November 4, showed the Oregon Ducks contract as the second-widest gap on its board, behind only Ohio State at 11 points. Rivo reads every venue every five minutes and ranks gaps by the difference between the lowest and highest Yes prices on the same outcome.

The Oregon Ducks college football championship contract showed a 6.7-point cross-venue gap, with Yes prices of 0.4 cents on Polymarket and 7 cents on Gemini, according to Rivo.

Rivo’s snapshot, read at 9:10 PM ET on November 4, placed Oregon second among the gaps on its board. Only Ohio State ranked higher, with an 11-point difference.

How Rivo compares venues

Rivo checks every venue every five minutes and orders its board by the spread between the lowest and highest Yes prices for the same outcome. The Oregon ranking therefore reflects a comparison across venues, rather than a price change within either market.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 9:15 PM ET. The supplied figures describe that snapshot; the material does not establish how long the difference persisted or explain why the venues priced Oregon differently.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue selection changes the observed signal. Oregon’s quoted Yes price was substantially lower on Polymarket than on Gemini at the snapshot time.
  • The ranking is relative. Oregon had the second-widest gap on Rivo’s board, behind Ohio State—not necessarily the second-largest gap outside that comparison.
  • The figures warrant care. Rivo reported a 6.7-point gap alongside prices of 0.4 cents and 7 cents; the supplied material does not explain the apparent arithmetic discrepancy.
  • A price gap alone is incomplete evidence. No liquidity, execution or contract-resolution details were supplied, limiting conclusions about whether the difference was actionable.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related