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Thunder championship pricing diverges most across Polymarket and Gemini

Rivo's cross-venue snapshot on November 4 showed the widest current gap on the Oklahoma City Thunder NBA championship contract, priced at 12.5 cents on Polymarket against 19 cents on Gemini, ahead of the Miami Heat and New York Knicks gaps.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA championship contracts showed the largest current price difference in Rivo’s November 4 cross-venue snapshot. The contract stood at 12.5 cents on Polymarket and 19 cents on Gemini, according to Rivo.

Thunder leads the venue comparison

The two prices were 6.5 points apart, with Gemini pricing the Thunder championship outcome higher than Polymarket. The snapshot identifies a difference between venues, rather than a change in either venue’s price over time.

According to Rivo, the Thunder gap exceeded those for the Miami Heat and New York Knicks. The supplied summary did not include prices or gap sizes for those two teams.

A snapshot with limited detail

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 9:00 PM ET. The available material provides the Thunder comparison but no source links, contract terms or trading-depth information.

Those limits matter when interpreting the spread. The quoted prices establish a cross-venue discrepancy at the snapshot, but the summary alone does not establish whether traders could execute at both prices or whether the contracts had identical settlement conditions.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue choice affects the observed signal: The Thunder championship outcome was priced at 12.5 cents on Polymarket versus 19 cents on Gemini.
  • The ranking is clearer than the broader comparison: Rivo placed the Thunder gap ahead of the Miami Heat and New York Knicks, without supplying those teams’ figures in the summary.
  • A price gap is not proof of an executable opportunity: Contract terms and trading depth were not provided, leaving the practical significance of the 6.5-point difference unresolved.
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Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
    Publisher
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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