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Polymarket puts December Fed hold at 27.5 percent amid heavy trading

The market closes December 9, 2026 and appears in World Monitor's live reading at 10:11 AM UTC on November 1 among its 15 most traded tracked markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

Polymarket priced no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting at 27.5 percent, according to World Monitor. The market had recorded 10.2 million dollars in trading.

Market snapshot

World Monitor included the contract in its live reading at 10:11 AM UTC on November 1, 2026. It appeared among the 15 most traded markets the outlet tracked across Polymarket and Kalshi.

That ranking places the contract within World Monitor’s tracked group, rather than establishing its position across every market on either platform. The reported price and trading total refer to the Polymarket contract.

December deadline

The market closes December 9, 2026, according to World Monitor. The supplied publication timestamp is Nov 1, 2026 · 5:15 AM ET, separate from the live-reading timestamp.

The available summary provides a single price observation. It does not include earlier prices, a breakdown of other rate outcomes or the contract’s detailed resolution terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 27.5 percent reading puts an unchanged-rate outcome below an even chance in this snapshot; it does not establish how traders divide expectations among possible rate changes.
  • The 10.2 million dollars traded and top-15 placement describe activity, not the accuracy of the market’s forecast.
  • December 9, 2026 is the stated closing date. Without the resolution terms, the summary alone does not establish the precise criteria for settlement.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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