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Seven-state Republican Senate loss scenario draws $20.7 million in trading

World Monitor's tracked board lists the Polymarket market asking whether Republicans will lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas Senate seats, closing November 3, 2026. It ranks among the most traded markets on the board's 50 tracked Polymarket and Kalshi questions.

A single market spans seven states

A Polymarket question on whether Republicans will lose Senate seats in all seven specified states was priced at 24.5 percent, according to World Monitor’s update published Nov 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM ET. The market had attracted 20.7 million dollars in trading.

The question covers Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas. Its scope is the combined outcome across those seven states, rather than the result of any individual Senate contest.

World Monitor lists the market’s closing date as November 3, 2026. The supplied summary does not provide detailed resolution criteria or individual-state market prices.

The question ranks among the most traded on World Monitor’s board, which tracks 50 questions across Polymarket and Kalshi. No exact rank is given.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 24.5 percent price concerns Republicans losing all seven specified seats; it should not be read as the market’s probability for a loss in any one state.
  • Trading of 20.7 million dollars places the question among the tracked board’s most active markets, but the supplied figures do not establish a price trend.
  • November 3, 2026 is the listed closing date. The summary does not specify when settlement will occur.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
    Publisher
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