Polymarket puts November WTI $100 threshold at 71% in new contract
PredictionBubbles reports a Polymarket market opened on November 2 asking whether WTI crude oil will hit a high of 100 dollars in November is priced at 71 percent, with about 24,000 dollars in liquidity resting on the order book. The market resolves on December 1, 2026.
A new Polymarket contract on whether WTI crude oil will reach a November high of $100 is priced at 71%, according to PredictionBubbles.
Early pricing and liquidity
The market opened on November 2. PredictionBubbles’ update, published Nov 3, 2026, at 9:45 AM ET, places the contract above an even-money assessment of the threshold being reached.
About $24,000 in liquidity is resting on the order book, according to PredictionBubbles. That figure describes available order-book liquidity, rather than completed trading volume.
November window, December resolution
The question concerns whether WTI reaches the $100 level during November, not whether it finishes the month there. The market resolves on December 1, 2026.
The supplied summary does not identify the price reference or provide detailed settlement rules. Those omissions limit how precisely readers can assess which oil-price observation would qualify.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 71% price reflects the market’s assessment of the November threshold event at the reported time; it is not a confirmed outcome.
- About $24,000 in resting liquidity provides context for the order book, but does not establish how much has traded.
- The November observation window and December 1, 2026, resolution date are distinct. The missing settlement details remain important for interpreting the contract.
Sources & attribution
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