Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Cooper commands dominant odds in North Carolina Senate prediction markets

Kalshi reports Cooper trades at 97.1 percent against Michael Whatley at 2.9 percent in the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis, with 7.08 million dollars traded on its North Carolina Senate market. The polling average puts Cooper ahead by 10.7 points.

Roy Cooper’s probability stood at 97.1 percent in Kalshi’s North Carolina Senate market, against 2.9 percent for Michael Whatley, according to Kalshi. The figures were reported on Nov 3, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET.

The contest is for the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis. Kalshi reported $7.08 million traded on its market for the race.

Market pricing and polling

The supplied headline placed Cooper at 97 percent on Kalshi and 98 percent on Polymarket. The more precise Kalshi figure in the accompanying summary was 97.1 percent.

The polling average put Cooper ahead by 10.7 points, according to Kalshi. That lead and the market probabilities both favored Cooper, though they measure different things: a polling margin is not a probability of winning.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Kalshi’s 97.1 percent pricing indicated a heavily favored Cooper outcome, while Whatley’s 2.9 percent left a small implied chance of an upset.
  • The reported Polymarket figure of 98 percent showed similarly strong expectations for Cooper across the two platforms.
  • The $7.08 million traded on Kalshi provides activity context, but does not by itself establish the accuracy of the market’s forecast.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related