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Netanyahu departure contract leads tracked markets with $125 million traded

World Monitor says its live board tracked 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets early on November 3, with 451.4 million dollars traded across them. The next largest tracked question covers a United States invasion of Iran before 2027, priced at 17.5 percent with 76.7 million dollars traded.

World Monitor’s live board tracked 50 markets on Polymarket and Kalshi early on November 3, 2026, with $451.4 million traded across that group, according to its summary published at 3:00 AM ET.

The largest tracked question by trading volume was a Polymarket contract on whether Netanyahu would be out by the end of 2026. It stood at 16.5 percent, with $125 million traded, according to World Monitor.

Two geopolitical questions lead trading volume

The next-largest tracked question concerned a United States invasion of Iran before 2027. World Monitor put its price at 17.5 percent and its traded volume at $76.7 million.

The two questions therefore showed a distinction between trading activity and pricing: the Netanyahu contract had more volume, while the Iran invasion question carried the higher percentage price.

Limits of the snapshot

These figures describe World Monitor’s tracked group, rather than an established ranking of every market on either platform. The supplied summary includes no source links, contract-resolution criteria or earlier prices against which to assess movement.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Netanyahu question led the tracked group by volume, but its 16.5 percent price should not be confused with the scale of trading interest.
  • The Iran invasion question ranked next by volume at $76.7 million, with a 17.5 percent price and a deadline before 2027.
  • The snapshot provides no basis for determining whether either price was rising or falling. Without resolution criteria, it also leaves the precise qualifying outcomes unspecified.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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