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Kalshi hurricane contract slips to 11c as weather market shifts

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard, on the same Nov. 3, 4:53 AM EST snapshot, lists the 2026 major Atlantic hurricane count contract above 1 as the weather…

The Kalshi contract for more than 1 major Atlantic hurricane in 2026 stood at 11c, down 4c, according to PredictionMarketPicks’ leaderboard.

Hurricane count leads weather moves

PredictionMarketPicks listed the contract as the weather board’s top mover in its Nov. 3, 4:53 AM EST snapshot. The accompanying item was published Nov 3, 2026 · 4:54 AM ET.

The threshold matters: this contract concerns a major Atlantic hurricane count above 1 for 2026, rather than the total number of Atlantic hurricanes.

The supplied summary does not identify what drove the decline or specify the period over which the 4c change occurred. It also provides no trading-volume or order-book information to help assess the move.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 11c price and 4c decline show a lower market valuation for the above-1 outcome, but the supplied material does not establish why traders repriced it.
  • The top-mover ranking identifies a notable weather-market change at that snapshot; without volume or liquidity data, it does not establish how broadly supported the move was.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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