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Miami championship contract leads venue price gaps in Rivo tracker

Rivo reports in its prediction market arbitrage tracker that the widest current gap between venues is on the Miami Hurricanes to win the college football championship, priced at 14 cents on Polymarket US against 28 cents on Gemini. The next widest gap is on Republicans to hold the Senate, at 22.5 cents on Polymarket against 34 cents on Gemini, an 11.5 point spread.

According to Rivo’s prediction market arbitrage tracker, the Miami Hurricanes’ college football championship contract has the widest current price difference between venues.

The update, published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:15 AM ET, puts Miami at 14 cents on Polymarket US and 28 cents on Gemini—a 14-cent gap.

Senate contract ranks second

The next-largest difference in Rivo’s tracker concerns Republicans holding the Senate. That contract is priced at 22.5 cents on Polymarket and 34 cents on Gemini, an 11.5 point spread.

Gemini carries the higher price in both comparisons. The venue cited for the Miami contract is Polymarket US, while the Senate comparison names Polymarket.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Miami shows the largest reported discrepancy: Its 14-cent cross-venue gap exceeds the Senate contract’s 11.5 point spread.
  • Venue matters when reading prices: Neither comparison offers a single, consistent market price across the two named venues.
  • A price gap alone does not establish executable arbitrage: The supplied summary does not include contract terms, fees, liquidity or execution details.
PolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Rivo
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