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Memphis delivers on market expectations with decisive win over Sacramento

DeFi Rate's NBA finals board for Sunday, November 1 shows Memphis defeating Sacramento 136 to 105, in line with the market that had priced the Grizzlies at 73 percent to win at tipoff. The winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US settle on the final score.

Memphis defeated Sacramento 136 to 105 on Sunday, November 1, according to DeFi Rate’s NBA finals board. The Grizzlies entered the game with a market-implied win probability of 73 percent at tipoff.

Favored outcome confirmed

The result aligned with the market’s favored outcome: Memphis won after being assigned the higher likelihood of victory. The 73 percent price reflected an expectation, not a guaranteed result.

DeFi Rate’s update was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 8:30 PM ET. Its board recorded the final score alongside the tipoff probability, allowing readers to compare the pregame assessment with the outcome.

Final score determines settlement

According to DeFi Rate, winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US settle using the final score. For those contracts, the decisive fact is Memphis’s victory rather than the size of its scoring advantage.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The favorite won: Memphis’s victory was consistent with its 73 percent tipoff probability.
  • Settlement follows the result: Winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US use the final score, not the pregame probability.
  • One result has limited explanatory power: This outcome alone does not establish whether a 73 percent assessment was well calibrated.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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