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Xi Jinping and Mark Carney lead Trump contact market at 96 percent

Polymarket's market on who Trump will speak to by November 30, launched on October 30, has traded about 82,000 dollars across 22 possible outcomes. Xi Jinping and Mark Carney lead the board at 96 percent each, and the market is scheduled to resolve on or around November 30.

Polymarket traders assign a 96 percent probability each to Trump speaking with Xi Jinping and Mark Carney by November 30, according to Polymarket. The two names lead the market’s 22 possible outcomes.

Trading activity and deadline

Launched on October 30, the market has recorded about 82,000 dollars in trading across those outcomes, according to Polymarket. The figures were reported on Nov 1, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET.

The question concerns whom Trump will speak to by November 30. The market is scheduled to resolve on or around November 30.

The supplied summary does not include prices for the other outcomes or detailed resolution criteria. It therefore offers a snapshot of the leaders, rather than a full comparison of the board.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The matching 96 percent prices indicate strong market expectations for contact with both Xi Jinping and Mark Carney, not confirmation that either conversation has occurred.
  • About 82,000 dollars in trading is the total across 22 possible outcomes; the summary does not show how that activity is distributed.
  • The November 30 contact deadline and resolution scheduled on or around that date are distinct. Without detailed rules, the summary does not establish what evidence will qualify for settlement.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Polymarketpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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