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Polymarket’s Jesus return contract draws heavy trading at one cent

The longshot contract ranks among the highest-volume markets on PicksByOdds' board despite its 1 cent price. Two of the board's top five markets by volume are longshots priced under 15 cents that close in January 2027.

A Polymarket contract on whether Jesus Christ will return before 2027 has recorded $66.9 million in trading volume while priced at 1 cent, according to PicksByOdds.

The figures, published Nov 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET, place the contract among the highest-volume markets on PicksByOdds’ board, despite its longshot pricing.

Low prices, substantial turnover

The contract is part of a broader showing for low-priced outcomes on that board. According to PicksByOdds, two of its top five markets by volume are longshots trading below 15 cents and closing in January 2027.

That combination highlights a distinction between trading activity and market pricing: a contract can attract substantial turnover without its price suggesting that the outcome is likely.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume is not a probability signal. The $66.9 million traded measures activity; the 1 cent price is a separate indicator of how the Jesus return outcome is priced.
  • Longshots can rank prominently. Two sub-15-cent contracts in the board’s top five show that high-volume rankings are not limited to outcomes priced as more likely.
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Sources & attribution

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    PicksByOdds
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