Bass leads Raman in prediction markets before Los Angeles runoff

Karen Bass stood at 57 percent against Nithya Raman at 43 percent in the Los Angeles mayor market ahead of the November 3 runoff, according to DeFi Rate.

Prices across the two platforms

DeFi Rate’s November 1 observation, taken between 5:03 and 5:04 AM ET, put Bass at an average of 58 cents on Kalshi and 57 cents on Polymarket. Raman was priced at 43 cents on Kalshi.

The platform figures showed a one-cent difference in Bass’s pricing. The supplied summary did not include a separate Polymarket price for Raman.

Trading concentrated on Kalshi

Combined trading over the preceding 24 hours totaled 73,000 dollars, according to DeFi Rate. Kalshi accounted for 64,000 dollars of that activity.

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 6:45 AM ET. Its figures offer a market snapshot before the November 3 vote, rather than a record of how prices had changed over time.

What it means for prediction markets

• Bass held the market lead in the reported snapshot, but the 57 percent–43 percent split did not indicate a settled outcome.
• Bass’s prices were close across Kalshi and Polymarket, while the supplied Raman price was limited to Kalshi.
• Kalshi contributed most of the reported 24-hour trading volume. Without earlier observations, these figures do not establish whether activity or support for either candidate was rising.