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Dortmund wager delivers $309,500 profit as Kalshi tracker flags large wins

Rivo's Kalshi whale tracker lists the Dortmund position among its recent big wins, a YES stake of 505,000 dollars placed on the November 4 match that settled with 309,500 dollars in profit. The same board shows a 146,100 dollar win on a 51,300 dollar stake on TheMongolz against FURIA in Counter-Strike.

A $505,000 YES position backing Borussia Dortmund to win its November 4 match settled with $309,500 in profit, according to Rivo’s Kalshi whale tracker.

Rivo listed the position among its recent large wins. The reporting was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 12:15 AM ET.

Two winning positions, different stakes

The same board showed a $146,100 win from a $51,300 stake backing TheMongolz against FURIA in Counter-Strike, according to Rivo.

The Dortmund position involved the larger stake and generated the larger reported gain. The Counter-Strike result, however, showed a reported win substantially greater than its stake. The supplied summary explicitly identifies the Dortmund figure as profit but describes the TheMongolz figure only as a win.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Dortmund result illustrates the dollar exposure behind a large sports position: $505,000 committed to a YES outcome, with $309,500 in settled profit.
  • Rivo’s board highlights winning positions across football and Counter-Strike, but these two entries do not establish a broader pattern of trader performance.
  • The distinction between profit and a reported “win” matters when comparing returns; the supplied figures are not labeled consistently enough to treat them as equivalent measures.
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Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
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