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Texas nears certainty as Ole Miss gains in Kalshi playoff market

Kalshi's market on the November 3 College Football Playoff rankings prices Texas at 99 percent to be ranked in the top 12 when the selection committee releases its first rankings at 7 PM ET on Tuesday. Ole Miss is priced at 90 percent, up 35 points, while LSU has fallen 13 points to 45 percent in the same market.

Kalshi’s market for the November 3 College Football Playoff rankings puts Texas at 99 percent to appear in the top 12. The selection committee is scheduled to release its first rankings at 7 PM ET on Tuesday.

Ole Miss rises while LSU slips

According to the supplied Kalshi market summary, Ole Miss is priced at 90 percent, an increase of 35 points. LSU has moved in the opposite direction, falling 13 points to 45 percent in the same market.

Those prices place Texas highest among the three teams cited, followed by Ole Miss and then LSU. The summary does not specify the period over which the Ole Miss and LSU changes occurred.

First rankings are the immediate test

The figures were provided with a publication timestamp of Nov 3, 2026 · 7:45 AM ET, ahead of that evening’s announcement. They reflect market expectations rather than confirmed committee rankings.

The distinction is important: this market concerns a top-12 position in the November 3 rankings, not a team’s eventual place in the College Football Playoff.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Texas’s 99 percent price signals near-certainty in the market, but the committee’s ranking remains unconfirmed.
  • Ole Miss’s 35-point rise to 90 percent and LSU’s 13-point decline to 45 percent show sharply divergent shifts in expectations.
  • The 7 PM ET release is the scheduled announcement relevant to this market; subsequent rankings and eventual playoff participation are separate questions.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
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