Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Melenchon election contracts show five-point split between Kalshi and Polymarket

PicksByOdds' same-question comparison for November 1 lists Jean-Luc Melenchon in the next French presidential election market at 8 cents on Kalshi against 13 cents on Polymarket, a 5-point gap between the two venues. The pair is among the widest verified gaps the tracker shows between the exchanges.

According to PicksByOdds, Jean-Luc Melenchon contracts for the next French presidential election were priced at 8 cents on Kalshi and 13 cents on Polymarket in its November 1 comparison.

Two venues, different prices

The same-question comparison puts the difference at 5 points, with Polymarket pricing Melenchon higher than Kalshi.

PicksByOdds lists the pair among the widest verified gaps it tracks between the exchanges. That ranking describes the size of the pricing difference, rather than Melenchon’s standing against other candidates.

Limits of the snapshot

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 8:30 PM ET. The supplied summary does not explain what drove the gap or how long it had persisted.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The comparison shows a material venue-level difference for the same election question: 8 cents on Kalshi versus 13 cents on Polymarket.
  • The 5-point spread alone does not establish which venue more accurately reflects Melenchon’s prospects.
  • Without further information on trading conditions or contract terms, the snapshot cannot establish whether the difference was executable across both exchanges.
KalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PicksByOdds
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PicksByOdds”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related