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Bitcoin dominates trading across Kalshi’s fifteen-minute markets

PredictionMarketsPicks reports that Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute series, of which 20 are trading, covering Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP, gold, silver, WTI crude oil, natural gas and currencies. Bitcoin accounted for 70 percent of the contracts traded across those series over the last day of windows, with crypto settling on CF Benchmarks averages and metals and energy on Pyth.

Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute market series, with 20 trading, according to PredictionMarketsPicks. The lineup covers cryptocurrencies, commodities and currencies, but recent contract activity was concentrated in Bitcoin.

Broad coverage, concentrated activity

Bitcoin accounted for 70 percent of contracts traded across those series over the last day of windows, PredictionMarketsPicks reported. That figure measures Bitcoin’s share of traded contracts, rather than its share of listed series.

The listed markets cover Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP, gold, silver, WTI crude oil, natural gas and currencies. The difference between the 30 listed series and the 20 trading is an important distinction when assessing the lineup’s active scope.

Settlement sources differ

According to PredictionMarketsPicks, the crypto markets settle using CF Benchmarks averages, while metals and energy use Pyth. The supplied summary does not identify the settlement source for currencies.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is concentrated: Bitcoin’s 70 percent share shows that broad asset coverage did not translate into evenly distributed contract trading over the reported period.
  • Listings are not the same as trading series: Of the 30 fifteen-minute series listed, 20 were trading.
  • Settlement methodology matters: Crypto outcomes use CF Benchmarks averages, while metals and energy rely on Pyth; readers should distinguish those reference sources when interpreting contracts.
KalshiBitcoinSolanaGoldSilverOilNatural GasInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    PredictionMarketsPicks
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