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Polymarket traders favor Circle earnings beat as platform rivalry expands

Prediction News reports Circle has joined the single-stock earnings contracts on Polymarket, with traders pricing a third-quarter earnings beat for the stablecoin issuer. Circle joins Apple, Palantir, Amazon, Intel, Visa and Robinhood as named tickers in the earnings vertical Polymarket and Kalshi are racing to expand.

Circle has joined Polymarket’s single-stock earnings contracts, with traders pricing a third-quarter earnings beat for the stablecoin issuer, according to Prediction News.

The report, published Nov 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, places Circle among the named companies in an earnings category that Polymarket and Kalshi are competing to expand.

Circle adds to the earnings lineup

Circle joins Apple, Palantir, Amazon, Intel, Visa and Robinhood as named tickers in that category, according to Prediction News. Its addition brings another company-specific earnings outcome into focus for prediction-market participants.

The reported positioning favors a Circle beat, but the supplied summary gives no contract price or implied probability. It also does not specify the earnings benchmark or settlement criteria, limiting how precisely readers can interpret that expectation.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Directional signal: Circle traders are pricing a third-quarter earnings beat, according to Prediction News, though the summary does not quantify their confidence.
  • Platform competition: Circle’s inclusion comes as Polymarket and Kalshi race to expand earnings contracts. The supplied material identifies Circle’s contract on Polymarket, not Kalshi.
  • Resolution details matter: Without the benchmark and settlement terms, the reported expectation cannot be tied to a specific measure of earnings performance.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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