Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Kalshi oil contracts attract trading as Election Day thresholds come into focus

Kalshi's oil board for Election Day, November 3, lists WTI price outcomes including 98 dollars or above, and its market on how high WTI gets by the end of next month has traded about 10.77 million dollars, with 115.01 dollars or above among the listed outcomes. Gold markets on the same board price gold above 3,918 dollars for today's 5:00 PM EST reading.

Kalshi’s Election Day WTI oil market has drawn about $1.24 million in volume, according to Kalshi. Its November 3 board includes an outcome for WTI at $98 or above.

Oil markets span different time horizons

A separate Kalshi market tracking how high WTI gets by the end of next month has traded about $10.77 million. Among that market’s listed outcomes is a threshold of $115.01 or above.

The two volume figures describe separate contracts with different time horizons. They indicate trading activity, but the supplied figures do not establish the probability traders assign to either listed oil threshold.

Gold adds a timed price reading

Gold markets on the same board price gold above $3,918 for today’s 5:00 PM EST reading, according to Kalshi. That specified observation time distinguishes the gold reference from the oil market tracking a high through the end of next month.

The update was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 5:15 AM ET. It provides selected thresholds and trading volumes rather than a complete set of prices for the board’s outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume is not probability: The roughly $1.24 million and $10.77 million figures measure trading activity, not the likelihood of WTI reaching the listed levels.
  • Contract horizons matter: The Election Day oil market and the market running through the end of next month should not be treated as equivalent forecasts.
  • Thresholds need context: The $98 and $115.01 oil outcomes identify listed levels; without their contract prices, the supplied material does not show how likely traders consider them.
  • Timing matters for gold: The gold reference is tied to today’s 5:00 PM EST reading, rather than an unspecified point during the day.
KalshiGoldOilElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related