WTI downside market draws more volume than gold on Kalshi
Kalshi's commodities page lists a WTI year-end low market with 752,834 dollars in volume, with the 60.99 dollars or below strike paying 11.7 times. Its gold price at year end market has traded 377,003 dollars, with 4,300 dollars or above paying 2.73 times.
Kalshi’s commodities page lists $752,834 in trading volume for a market on how low WTI oil will fall by year end, according to Kalshi. A separate market on gold’s year-end price has recorded $377,003.
Two different year-end price questions
The figures, published Nov 1, 2026, at 4:45 PM ET, show greater trading volume in the WTI market than in the gold contract. They cover different outcomes: WTI’s low by year end and gold’s price at year end.
For WTI, the $60.99-or-below strike shows a payout multiple of 11.7 times, according to Kalshi’s commodities listing.
The gold market’s $4,300-or-above strike shows a payout multiple of 2.73 times. The supplied figures do not include other strikes or a history of changes in either market.
What it means for prediction markets
- The WTI contract has attracted more reported volume, but volume alone does not establish which outcome traders consider more likely.
- The listed WTI downside strike carries a higher payout multiple than the gold upside strike; the contracts nevertheless address different price conditions.
- These figures provide a snapshot, not evidence of a shift in expectations. No earlier volumes or payout multiples were supplied.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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