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Kalshi and Polymarket valuations climb as regulatory pressure narrows reach

SCCG, reporting on October 22 from Sportico coverage, says valuations have climbed to 22 billion dollars for Kalshi and 15 billion dollars for Polymarket while both firms pulled back from China, India, Brazil and Nigeria after sanctions threats. The report notes a settlement of more than 200,000 dollars with the Ontario Securities Commission, an Australian order to block Polymarket, and Brazil forcing Kalshi offline in April.

Kalshi’s valuation has reached 22 billion dollars and Polymarket’s 15 billion dollars, according to SCCG’s October 22 report drawing on Sportico coverage. Those figures come alongside a retreat by both prediction-market operators from China, India, Brazil and Nigeria following sanctions threats.

Higher valuations, tighter access

The reported valuations contrast with limits on where the platforms can operate. SCCG describes both companies pulling back from the four countries, putting their geographic reach under pressure even as their valuations have climbed.

The regulatory developments extend beyond those withdrawals. According to SCCG, the report also includes a settlement of more than 200,000 dollars with the Ontario Securities Commission. The supplied summary does not identify the party that settled.

Separate restrictions in Australia and Brazil

Australia ordered Polymarket to be blocked, according to SCCG. Separately, Brazil forced Kalshi offline in April. These actions involve different platforms and jurisdictions and should not be treated as a single regulatory proceeding.

The supplied summary does not detail the sanctions threats or explain how the country withdrawals relate to the reported valuations. It therefore establishes parallel developments—higher valuations and reduced access—rather than a causal link between them.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Valuation and availability are distinct: The 22 billion dollar and 15 billion dollar figures do not establish that either platform has secured broader geographic access.
  • Jurisdiction-specific developments matter: Australia’s blocking order concerns Polymarket, while Brazil’s April action concerns Kalshi.
  • Unresolved details limit interpretation: The summary does not identify the Ontario settlement party or specify the sanctions threats, leaving gaps for readers assessing regulatory-event markets.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    SCCG
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