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Ossoff overtakes Vance in Kalshi’s post-midterm presidential market

Vance fell from 20 cents to 13 cents between 9:30 AM ET on November 3 and 9:30 AM ET on November 4, in a dated comparison of Kalshi's 2028 presidential market after the midterms.

Prices shift after Georgia result

Jon Ossoff moved ahead of J.D. Vance in Kalshi’s 2028 presidential market after winning the Georgia Senate race, according to PredictionMarketPicks. Ossoff’s contract price increased from 12 cents to 17 cents.

Vance’s price declined from 20 cents to 13 cents between 9:30 AM ET on November 3 and 9:30 AM ET on November 4, according to the outlet’s dated comparison after the midterms.

A reversal in relative standing

The reported prices put Ossoff 4 cents above Vance, compared with an 8-cent deficit at the earlier quoted levels. Ossoff gained 5 cents while Vance lost 7 cents.

The account was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. The supplied material does not include other candidates’ prices or trading-volume data, limiting what can be concluded about the broader market ranking or the strength of the repricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The quoted prices show a clear reversal between Ossoff and Vance, rather than establishing how either stood against every other potential candidate.
  • The November 3–4 comparison provides a defined window for Vance’s decline; the supplied material does not specify equivalent timestamps for Ossoff’s increase.
  • Ossoff’s rise followed his Georgia Senate victory, but the available information does not establish how much of the price change was attributable to that result.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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