IMAX and Flutter earnings bets diverge ahead of November reports
PolymarketTrader, updated November 2, lists 171 live stocks and earnings markets on Polymarket. The IMAX contract settles around its November 5 earnings report with 684 dollars traded, and the Flutter contract around November 4 with 1,200 dollars traded.
Polymarket pricing moved in opposite directions for earnings beats at IMAX and Flutter, according to PolymarketTrader. The IMAX contract reached 72 percent after rising 21.5 percentage points, while Flutter fell 14 percentage points to 46.5 percent.
Two earnings dates in focus
PolymarketTrader’s November 2 update lists 171 live stocks and earnings markets on Polymarket. The supplied report was published on Nov 2, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET.
The IMAX contract settles around the company’s November 5 earnings report, with 684 dollars traded, according to PolymarketTrader. Its reported price puts an earnings beat above the even-probability threshold.
Flutter’s contract settles around its November 4 earnings report and has recorded 1,200 dollars traded. Its decline leaves the implied probability of a beat below 50 percent, despite more trading volume than the IMAX contract.
What it means for prediction markets
- Expectations have diverged: The reported moves leave IMAX priced at 72 percent for an earnings beat and Flutter at 46.5 percent. These are market-implied probabilities, not confirmed outcomes.
- Volume provides context: The contracts have recorded 684 dollars and 1,200 dollars traded, respectively. The supplied material does not include order-book depth or trader counts, limiting assessment of the price moves.
- Settlement details remain unspecified: The report places settlement around November 5 for IMAX and November 4 for Flutter, but does not provide the precise earnings benchmarks or resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
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