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Early Senate projections favor Ossoff in Georgia and Warner in Virginia

The same 7:30 PM ET update reports Decision Desk HQ projected Ossoff the winner over Collins in Georgia, at about 80% to 20% with 11% of precincts reporting at the call,…

Decision Desk HQ projected Ossoff the winner over Collins in Georgia in a 7:30 PM ET update on Nov 3, 2026.

At the time of the call, Ossoff led by about 80% to 20%, with 11% of precincts reporting. Those figures describe the reported count when the projection was made, not a final statewide result.

Two early Senate calls

Virginia’s Warner received the night’s first Senate call, according to the supplied headline. The accompanying summary provides no vote margin or reporting percentage for that race.

The item was published on Nov 3, 2026 at 7:54 PM ET. Its summary places the Georgia projection in the same 7:30 PM ET update, but the supplied material does not establish the exact time of the Virginia call.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Projection versus settlement: The Ossoff call is relevant to Georgia Senate contracts, but whether it determines settlement depends on each market’s specified resolution criteria.
  • Partial-count context: The approximately 80%–20% split came with 11% of precincts reporting; it should not be treated as the final margin.
  • Limited Virginia detail: The Warner call provides a projected outcome, while the supplied material offers no basis for assessing his margin.
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