Democrats command elevated Kalshi prices as six battleground calls remain outstanding
The same update lists the races still not called on Kalshi: Ohio's Sherrod Brown at 97c, Texas's James Talarico at 96c, Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed at 95c, Kansas at 93c,…
Six battleground races remained uncalled while Democratic candidates traded at 90c or above on Kalshi in the same 8:45 PM ET update, according to the supplied summary.
The item, published Nov 3, 2026 · 8:54 PM ET, describes a gap between market pricing and race-call status: traders heavily favored Democrats, but the listed contests had not been called.
Four prices identified
Ohio's Sherrod Brown stood at 97c, Texas's James Talarico at 96c and Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed at 95c. Kansas was listed at 93c, without a candidate named in the available summary.
The summary does not identify the other two battlegrounds or their individual prices. No source outlet or links were provided, limiting verification of the broader six-race snapshot.
What it means for prediction markets
- Pricing is not a race call: The elevated Democratic prices coexisted with uncalled contests in the 8:45 PM ET update.
- The disclosed prices show different levels of confidence: Brown's 97c was the highest of the four listed figures; Kansas's 93c was the lowest.
- This is a snapshot, not a trend: The supplied material contains no earlier prices from which to establish how market expectations changed.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- House control holds at 99 percent on both Polymarket and Kalshi, with expected Democratic seats up to 265.4, Polyguana reports
- Iowa Senate market slips to 78 percent for Josh Turek, now tied as the closest Senate race on the board, Polyguana reports
- Kansas Senate market runs to 95.9 percent for Adam Hamilton, the seat the board ranks as deciding Senate control, Polyguana reports
- Texas governor market flips to Democrat Gina Hinojosa at 93 percent against Greg Abbott, Polyguana reports
- Georgia governor market runs to 99.4 percent for Keisha Lance Bottoms as a safe Democratic flip, Polyguana reports
- Kalshi prices a Democratic sweep of Congress at 98% on its Balance of Power market, on $134.6M traded