Bottoms gains ground in Kalshi’s Georgia governor market as voting concludes

Keisha Lance Bottoms reached 71 percent in Kalshi’s Georgia governor market on Election Day morning, up from 62 percent a week earlier, according to DeFi Rate. The November 3, 2026 update puts her market standing nine percentage points above that earlier reading.

From level pricing to a stronger lead

DeFi Rate reported that Bottoms and Rick Jackson were both priced at 51 cents on October 21. The subsequent readings show a strengthening market assessment of Bottoms, though the supplied reporting does not give a corresponding Election Day price for Jackson.

The 71 percent figure reflects market pricing, not a vote tally. It therefore describes traders’ assessment of the contest rather than an established electoral outcome.

Early voting and a potential runoff

Almost 2.3 million Georgians had voted early by October 29, according to DeFi Rate, setting a midterm record. That turnout figure establishes the scale of early participation but does not identify how those voters divided among candidates.

A December 1 runoff will follow if no candidate tops 50 percent tonight. That threshold leaves open the possibility that Election Day will not settle the governor’s race.

What it means for prediction markets

• Bottoms’ rise from 62 percent to 71 percent marks a nine-percentage-point shift over a week; it should not be read as a measured change in her vote share.
• The October 21 prices provide an earlier comparison point, but the absence of Jackson’s latest price limits a full assessment of the market’s movement.
• The record early-voting total does not, by itself, establish an advantage for either candidate.
• The requirement to top 50 percent makes the distinction between an outright victory tonight and a December 1 runoff central to interpreting election developments.