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April 2027 Fed rate contract falls to two cents

PicksByOdds lists the contract as the biggest mover over its 165-day archive, with 5,602 dollars in volume. The site tracks 443 markets across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless.

The contract on whether the federal funds rate will be above 4.50 percent after the April 28, 2027 Fed meeting was priced at two cents, down 71 points, according to PicksByOdds.

Largest move in the tracked archive

PicksByOdds ranked the contract as the biggest mover in its 165-day archive. The update was published Nov 1, 2026 · 4:15 AM ET.

The contract had 5,602 dollars in volume, according to the site. The supplied summary does not specify the period over which the 71-point decline occurred or identify a catalyst.

Coverage and limits

PicksByOdds tracks 443 markets across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless. The summary does not identify which platform hosts this particular contract.

The reported price concerns a specific threshold after a specific Fed meeting. It does not, by itself, establish the market’s expected rate level or the path of rates before that meeting.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The two-cent price puts the above-4.50-percent outcome near the low end of the contract’s pricing range.
  • The biggest-mover ranking applies to PicksByOdds’ 165-day archive, rather than establishing a market-wide record.
  • The reported 5,602 dollars in volume does not establish current liquidity; the summary provides no order-book or spread information.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PicksByOdds
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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