Kalshi odds ease but still strongly favor no Fed cuts
No significant new prediction-platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today in briefings or website-only batches (the…
The Kalshi contract for the Fed to cut rates 0 times in 2026 was priced at 95.1%, down 1.0 percentage points, in the supplied snapshot published Nov 2, 2026 · 7:24 AM ET.
Trading volume stood at $2.9M. Despite the decline in the quoted probability, the pricing remained heavily weighted toward no rate cuts in 2026.
No fresh catalyst identified
The accompanying summary said there had been no significant new prediction-platform headline in the last 30 minutes. It described news-search results as recirculating material already used that day in briefings or website-only batches.
The summary is incomplete, and no source links were supplied. The available material therefore does not establish a cause for the price move or provide a comparison period for the 1.0-point decline.
What it means for prediction markets
- A modest shift, not a reversal: The 95.1% price still indicates a strong market preference for the no-cut outcome, despite the reported decline.
- Volume does not establish direction: The $2.9M traded figure provides activity context, but the supplied material does not show how much trading accompanied the latest move.
- Catalyst attribution remains uncertain: With no significant new platform headline identified in the last 30 minutes, linking the change to a specific development would go beyond the available evidence.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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