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Henry leads Week 9 touchdown probabilities as Rodriguez draws most trading

DeFi Rate reports Derrick Henry to score anytime against Jacksonville is the likeliest Week 9 NFL touchdown prop at 51 percent, up 5 points, after scoring in 6 of 8 games this season. Chris Rodriguez Jr. anytime touchdown against Baltimore is the most traded prop at about 8,000 dollars traded, with the market giving it a 29 percent chance.

Derrick Henry’s anytime-touchdown market against Jacksonville carries a 51 percent probability, making it the likeliest Week 9 NFL touchdown prop, according to DeFi Rate’s Nov 3, 2026 report, published at 7:30 AM ET.

Henry’s probability rises

The probability for Henry to score has increased by 5 points. He has scored in 6 of 8 games this season, according to DeFi Rate.

The 51 percent reading puts a touchdown slightly above an even chance in the market’s assessment. His scoring record provides context, but the supplied report does not identify what drove the increase.

Rodriguez leads trading activity

Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s anytime-touchdown prop against Baltimore is the most traded, with about 8,000 dollars traded, according to DeFi Rate. That market assigns him a 29 percent chance of scoring.

The two props lead on different measures: Henry has the highest touchdown probability, while Rodriguez has attracted the most trading. Greater trading activity does not, by itself, imply a higher likelihood of scoring.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Probability and activity diverge: Henry leads at 51 percent, while the most-traded Rodriguez prop stands at 29 percent.
  • Henry’s pricing has shifted: The 5-point increase signals a higher market-assessed chance of a touchdown, though the supplied material does not explain the move.
  • Volume offers limited context: About 8,000 dollars traded establishes Rodriguez’s activity lead, but does not reveal the number of participants or their reasons for trading.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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