Kalshi’s November CPI threshold contract falls to 5c
The same PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard snapshot lists the contract on the rate of CPI inflation being above 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026 at 5c, down 6c…
A Kalshi contract tied to CPI inflation exceeding 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026 was listed at 5c, down 6c, according to a PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard snapshot.
The threshold in focus
The snapshot appeared in material published Nov 3, 2026 · 7:24 AM ET. The contract concerns the annual CPI inflation rate for the period ending in November 2026, rather than the monthly inflation change.
The reported decline puts the contract at a lower price for an outcome above 4.4%. It does not, by itself, establish where traders expect the inflation rate to land below that threshold.
Limits of the snapshot
The supplied summary does not specify the comparison period for the 6c decline or provide trading volume, order-book information or settlement terms. No source links were supplied, limiting verification beyond the reported leaderboard entry.
What it means for prediction markets
- A narrowly defined outcome: The contract targets CPI inflation above 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026, not inflation generally.
- A lower quoted price: The 5c listing and 6c decline indicate reduced pricing for that outcome in the reported snapshot.
- Limited context: Without timing details or trading data, the snapshot cannot establish the cause of the move or how broadly it reflects market expectations.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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