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Polymarket odds slide for WTI reaching $100 in November

PredictionBubbles ranks the WTI crude contract among the biggest movers of the last 24 hours, down 33.5 points to 33 percent. The market has traded 24,000 dollars on Polymarket.

A Polymarket contract on whether WTI crude oil will reach $100 in November fell 33.5 percentage points to 33%, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Nov 5, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET, places the contract among the largest movers over the preceding 24 hours.

A sharp change in expectations

The reported decline puts the contract’s implied probability below one in three. The move reflects a shift in market pricing for the November threshold, rather than a reported change in WTI’s spot price.

The market has recorded $24,000 in trading on Polymarket, according to PredictionBubbles. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide the contract’s detailed resolution terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Magnitude: The 33.5-percentage-point fall marks a substantial repricing of the $100 outcome over 24 hours.
  • Activity: The reported $24,000 in trading provides context, but does not establish current liquidity or market depth.
  • Limits: Without resolution terms or an explanation for the move, the update alone cannot establish what drove traders’ changing expectations.
PolymarketOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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