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Israel and Iran ceasefire contract gains ahead of November 7 deadline

PolymarketTrader ranked the ceasefire contract seventh on its biggest-movers watchlist built from the Polymarket Gamma API snapshot of November 5. Liquidity on the contract stood at 49,900 dollars in the same snapshot.

The Polymarket contract on whether the Israel and Iran ceasefire continues through November 7 rose 6 points to 90.5 percent, according to PolymarketTrader. Trading volume over 24 hours totaled 198,300 dollars.

November 5 market snapshot

PolymarketTrader placed the contract seventh on its biggest-movers watchlist. The ranking drew on a November 5 snapshot from the Polymarket Gamma API.

Liquidity stood at 49,900 dollars in that same snapshot. That figure is separate from the 198,300 dollars in reported 24-hour trading volume.

Price movement, not confirmation

The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET, ahead of the contract’s November 7 horizon. The supplied material describes market pricing and activity; it provides no separate reporting on developments affecting the ceasefire.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 6-point increase to 90.5 percent indicates a shift toward the contract’s ceasefire-continuation outcome, not confirmation that it will occur.
  • The seventh-place ranking identifies the contract’s position on PolymarketTrader’s biggest-movers watchlist, rather than a ranking by volume or liquidity.
  • The November 5 snapshot provides a dated reference for price, volume and liquidity. The supplied material does not explain what drove the move or provide the contract’s detailed resolution rules.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PolymarketTrader”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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