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Trump departure contract draws $524,000 as cross-platform prices sit near zero

CoinStats lists the contract among the busiest paired markets in its November 5 comparison of markets trading on both venues, updated at 12:16 UTC. The contract resolves on December 31, 2026.

A contract on Trump being out as President before 2027 recorded $524,000 in trading over 24 hours, according to CoinStats. It was priced at 4 cents on Polymarket and 3 cents on Kalshi.

Activity and pricing across venues

CoinStats included the contract among the busiest paired markets in its November 5 comparison of markets available on both venues. The comparison was updated at 12:16 UTC.

The prices put the same stated question one cent apart across the two platforms. Both remained close to zero despite the reported trading activity.

Resolution at year-end

The contract resolves on December 31, 2026, according to CoinStats. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 7:45 AM ET.

The supplied summary does not break down the $524,000 by venue or provide the contract’s detailed resolution criteria. It also offers no earlier prices against which to assess whether expectations had shifted.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is not conviction: The $524,000 turnover measures trading activity, while the 4-cent and 3-cent prices indicate low market-implied odds for the stated outcome.
  • The venue gap is narrow: Polymarket’s price was one cent above Kalshi’s in the reported snapshot; the summary does not explain the difference.
  • Settlement details matter: December 31, 2026 is the stated resolution date, but the supplied material does not specify what evidence would determine the outcome.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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