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GameStop eBay acquisition markets show low odds despite millions traded

PredictionBubbles lists the GameStop acquisition contract among the most traded markets on its November 5 finance board. Polymarket prices its version of the question at 3.4 percent on 3.4 million dollars traded.

Prediction-market contracts on GameStop announcing an acquisition of eBay before January 1, 2027 carry low implied probabilities on both Kalshi and Polymarket, according to PredictionBubbles.

Prices and trading activity

Kalshi prices the contract at 3.0 percent, with 3.8 million dollars traded. PredictionBubbles lists it among the most traded markets on its November 5 finance board.

Polymarket prices its version of the question at 3.4 percent, with 3.4 million dollars traded, according to PredictionBubbles. Its price is slightly higher than Kalshi’s, while its reported trading volume is lower.

An announcement deadline, not a completed deal

The supplied report, published Nov 5, 2026 at 7:45 AM ET, concerns a contract tied to an acquisition announcement before January 1, 2027—not the completion of an acquisition. It provides market prices and trading activity, but no reporting on acquisition discussions.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both reported prices indicate a low market-implied likelihood of an announcement before the deadline.
  • Millions of dollars in trading volume demonstrate activity in the contracts, not evidence that a deal is being pursued.
  • The two platforms’ prices are close, but the supplied material does not include their detailed resolution rules, limiting a direct comparison.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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