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Israel and Iran ceasefire odds reach 90.5 percent on Polymarket

PolymarketTrader listed the ceasefire market among the biggest movers in its November 5 snapshot. It traded 198,300 dollars in 24 hours with 49,900 dollars in liquidity.

A Polymarket contract on the Israel and Iran ceasefire continuing through November 7 rose 6 points to 90.5 percent, according to PolymarketTrader.

Ceasefire contract among biggest movers

PolymarketTrader included the contract among the biggest movers in its November 5 snapshot. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

The market recorded 198,300 dollars in trading volume over 24 hours, with 49,900 dollars in liquidity, according to the snapshot.

Price move signals stronger expectations

The higher price indicates stronger market expectations that the ceasefire will continue through November 7. It does not establish that the ceasefire will hold.

The supplied summary offers no explanation for the move or details of the contract’s resolution criteria. It therefore provides a market-pricing update rather than independent reporting on the ceasefire’s status.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction: The 6-point rise brought the contract to 90.5 percent, indicating a stronger market expectation of continuation through November 7.
  • Activity: The 198,300 dollars in 24-hour volume and 49,900 dollars in liquidity describe trading conditions, not certainty about the outcome.
  • Interpretation: Without resolution criteria or reporting on what prompted the change, the snapshot alone cannot establish why traders repriced the contract.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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