OpenAI Astra deadline contract reaches 91.5 percent after sharp Polymarket move
About 132,000 dollars has traded in the market, which sits atop the tech board's 24-hour movers on PredictionBubbles. The contract covers any Astra release at version 6.1 or above by the November 15 deadline.
A Polymarket contract tied to OpenAI releasing an Astra model at version 6.1 or newer by November 15 has climbed 18.5 points to 91.5 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.
The update, published on Nov 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, puts the contract at the top of the tech board’s 24-hour movers on PredictionBubbles.
Trading activity and release threshold
About 132,000 dollars has traded in the market, according to PredictionBubbles. That figure describes trading activity, rather than confirmation that the qualifying release will happen.
The contract covers any Astra release at version 6.1 or above by the November 15 deadline. Its scope therefore extends beyond version 6.1 alone: a newer version would also meet the stated version threshold.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 18.5-point increase signals a substantial shift toward the qualifying release occurring by the deadline, with the contract now at 91.5 percent.
- Both timing and version matter: the stated condition requires an Astra release at version 6.1 or above by November 15.
- The supplied reporting identifies the price move, trading volume and ranking, but gives no reason for the change or confirmation of OpenAI’s release plans.
Sources & attribution
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