Ethereum downside odds slide as Bitcoin dip contract also retreats
PredictionBubbles ranks the Ethereum dip contract as the third-biggest crypto move in 24 hours, with 655,000 dollars traded. The contract on Bitcoin dipping to 70,000 dollars by December 31 also fell, down 16 points to 29.5 percent on 1.5 million dollars traded.
A Polymarket contract on Ethereum dipping to 2,000 dollars by December 31 fell 19.5 percentage points to 25.5 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.
The update, published Nov 4, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET, also showed a decline in the probability attached to Bitcoin dipping to 70,000 dollars by December 31.
Ethereum ranks among the largest crypto moves
PredictionBubbles ranked the Ethereum contract as the third-biggest crypto move over 24 hours. Trading volume totaled 655,000 dollars.
The Bitcoin contract dropped 16 percentage points to 29.5 percent, with 1.5 million dollars traded. Its decline was smaller than Ethereum’s, despite the higher trading volume.
What it means for prediction markets
- Both contracts moved toward lower implied probabilities of their specified downside thresholds being reached by December 31.
- Ethereum’s contract registered the larger probability decline, while Bitcoin’s retained the higher implied probability.
- The figures describe changes in contract pricing, not changes in the underlying cryptocurrency prices. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the moves.
Sources & attribution
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