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Bitcoin November price bets climb as $85,000 contract reaches 56%

BBX reported that the 87,500 dollar November contract also rose, up 17 points to 38 percent. The market settles on the highest price on the 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candlestick chart during November.

According to BBX, the Polymarket contract on Bitcoin reaching $85,000 in November increased by 23 percentage points to 56%. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 2:15 AM ET.

The November contract for a higher threshold, $87,500, also advanced. BBX reported a 17-percentage-point increase to 38%.

Two thresholds, one measurement window

The $85,000 contract recorded both the larger increase and the higher probability. The reported readings put it 18 percentage points above the $87,500 contract.

According to BBX, settlement depends on the highest price recorded on Binance’s 1-minute BTC/USDT candlestick chart during November. The relevant measure is therefore the month’s peak on that chart, rather than a month-end closing price.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported gains show increased market-implied chances of Bitcoin reaching both November thresholds, with $85,000 priced above 50% and $87,500 below it.
  • Settlement turns on the specified Binance BTC/USDT chart; a price recorded elsewhere is not the stated benchmark.
  • Because the contract uses November’s highest price, a threshold touch matters even if Bitcoin subsequently trades lower.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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