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Bitcoin November downside odds retreat below half on Polymarket

The November dip contract was the fourth-largest mover on the PredictionBubbles crypto board in its November 5 snapshot. The board tracks 259 open crypto markets with 248.1 million dollars in total volume across two venues.

A Polymarket contract on Bitcoin dipping to 75,000 dollars in November fell 14 points to 46.5 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The contract had recorded 254,000 dollars in trading volume.

The move put its implied probability below the halfway mark. The contract concerns whether Bitcoin dips to that level during November, rather than where it finishes the month.

A notable move across the crypto board

The November dip contract ranked as the fourth-largest mover on the PredictionBubbles crypto board in its November 5 snapshot. The report was published Nov 5, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET.

According to PredictionBubbles, the board tracks 259 open crypto markets across two venues, with 248.1 million dollars in total volume. That broader figure covers the tracked markets, not just the Bitcoin contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The decline to 46.5 percent marks a reduction in the market-implied likelihood of Bitcoin dipping to 75,000 dollars in November; it does not rule out that outcome.
  • Its fourth-largest-mover ranking places the contract among the snapshot’s more pronounced changes, but the supplied reporting does not identify a catalyst.
  • The 254,000 dollars traded provides activity context. The snapshot does not specify how much of that volume accompanied the 14-point decline.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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    https://predictionbubbles.com
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