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Bitcoin November downside contract drops sharply in Polymarket trading

PredictionBubbles' crypto board, refreshed every 15 minutes, ranks the Bitcoin dip to 72,500 dollars in November contract as its second-biggest mover of the last 24 hours, on 123,000 dollars in volume. The board tracks 244 open crypto markets with 246.2 million dollars in total volume across two venues.

A Polymarket contract on Bitcoin dipping to 72,500 dollars in November fell 24.5 percentage points to 30 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The move reduced the market-implied probability of that outcome.

A major mover on the crypto board

PredictionBubbles ranked the contract as the second-biggest mover over the last 24 hours on its crypto board, with 123,000 dollars in volume. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 9:15 PM ET.

The board refreshes every 15 minutes and tracks 244 open crypto markets across two venues. Those markets account for 246.2 million dollars in total volume, according to PredictionBubbles.

What the snapshot establishes

The figures show a substantial repricing of this specific Bitcoin downside contract. The supplied report does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide Bitcoin’s prevailing price, limiting conclusions about what drove traders’ reassessment.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 30 percent reading reflects the contract’s market-implied probability, not a confirmed outcome for Bitcoin in November.
  • Its second-biggest-mover ranking places the repricing among the board’s largest changes over the last 24 hours.
  • The 123,000 dollars in contract volume provides activity context, but the supplied figures do not establish liquidity or explain the price move.
  • With updates every 15 minutes, the reported probability and ranking are a snapshot rather than fixed readings.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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