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Kalshi pandemic contract draws trading activity at 11.5 cents

The market traded with a 3 cent spread in the tracker snapshot, for an estimated 340 dollars of 24-hour volume. It was listed among the most traded open markets on Kalshi in the snapshot.

A Kalshi contract tied to a next pandemic before 2028 was priced at 11.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi. The report, published Nov 6, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET, recorded 2,954 contracts traded over 24 hours.

Snapshot shows activity and spread

The tracker showed a 3 cent spread and estimated 24-hour dollar volume of 340 dollars. Those figures describe the market at the snapshot rather than a price trend.

The contract also appeared among Kalshi’s most traded open markets in that snapshot, according to BotForKalshi. The supplied summary did not give its exact ranking or comparative figures for other contracts.

Limits of the available data

The summary provided no contract resolution criteria or earlier prices. It therefore does not establish precisely what would qualify as a pandemic for settlement, or whether traders had raised or lowered their assessment before the snapshot.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing needs context: The 11.5-cent price is the reported market level; interpreting it as a forecast requires the contract’s settlement terms.
  • The spread matters: A 3 cent spread means the quoted market level should not be treated as a single price available to both buyers and sellers.
  • Activity is not direction: The 2,954 contracts traded and estimated 340 dollars in volume show turnover, but do not establish a shift in expectations.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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